Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Oscar Predictions: October 2008

I know I haven't been updating my predictions as much as I'd like to, but, frankly, the Oscar race thus far has been boring me to tears. Best Picture, conceivably, has already been narrowed down to 10 or so films and half of them haven't even opened yet. I've been alternating the same 6 or 7 names for Best Actor since March and there haven't been any newcomers to the table (well, we did have RDJ and Viggo for awhile, but their movies got moved to 2009). There are very few viable Best Supporting Actor candidates at this point, which is leading me to just guess at this point. Even Best Actress is slightly snooze-worthy since only a couple potential nominees have opened. The only exciting category right now is Best Supporting Actress and that's mainly because of my campaign for La Tisdale, which is only getting stronger by the day. I'm hoping by the next time I update, there will be some major shakeups to make the race for the Oscar interesting again. Until then, here are my predictions:

Best Picture

The Dark Knight
Revolutionary Road
Slumdog Millionaire

Best Actor

Leonardo DiCaprio, Revolutionary Road
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon
Sean Penn, Milk
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Mickey Rourke,
The Wrestler

Best Actress

Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married
Nicole Kidman, Australia
Meryl Streep, Doubt
Kristin Scott Thomas, I've Loved You So Long
Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road

Best Supporting Actor

Josh Brolin, Milk
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder
James Franco, Milk
Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt
Heath Ledger,
The Dark Knight

Best Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, Doubt
Penelope Cruz, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Viola Davis, Doubt
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
Ashley Tisdale, High School Musical 3: Senior Year

Best Director

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire
Jonathan Demme,
Rachel Getting Married
Baz Luhrmann, Australia
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight
Gus Van Sant, Milk

Best Original Screenplay
Woody Allen, Vicky Cristina Barcelona
Stuart Beattie, Richard Flanagan, Ronald Harwood, Baz Luhrmann, Australia
Dustin Lance Black, Milk
Mike Leigh, Happy-Go-Lucky
Jenny Lumet, Rachel Getting Married

Best Adapted Screenplay

Simon Beaufoy, Slumdog Millionaire
Justin Haythe, Revolutionary Road
Peter Morgan,
Eric Roth, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
John Patrick Shanley, Doubt


Michael Parsons said...

So far the actors from Milk that have gotten the most notices are Franco and Hirsch.

Are you really not going to throw Sally Hawkins into the mix?

You stay with Tisdale....rock the power

Dame James Henry said...

I haven't really heard anything about Milk so I was just going by who I think the Academy is willing to honor. Brolin and Franco have both had great years so I think at this point that they are the ones to beat. It's very intriguing however that Hirsch has been getting notices too. Maybe this race won't be so boring.

I thought about putting Hawkins in, but she hasn't really gotten the raves (in America, anyways) that Hathaway and Thomas have been getting. Maybe if Streep, Winslet or Kidman, God forbid, disappoint, I'll throw her in.

Thanks for the La Tisdale support!

BRockNYLA said...

psst..look out for Michael Shannon (Revolutionary Road) in Best Supporting Actor. Brolin has more buzz in Lead for "W" and not even Downey, Jr. can get a nod for doing black face in a comedy(as much as he might deserve it).

Dame James Henry said...

Michael Shannon is currently my number six and I did briefly have him in the Top 5, but then I just decided to see what it looked like with Franco. I actually have no clue what type of role Shannon has in the film so it's hard to gauge whether or not it could go all the way. Brolin has more buzz for W. right now because it was just released and Milk is still to come. Once more people have seen it, I think they'll go for that performance more. And you never know with RDJ and Tropic Thunder. Crazier nominations have happened...